Lightweight
3 Rounds
Edson Barboza won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 20, 2010·Auburn Hills, Michigan, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mike Lullo wins(60.5%)
Actual result: Edson Barboza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Mike Lullo has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Edson Barboza has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Edson Barboza has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Edson Barboza has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mike Lullo
Red Corner
VS
Edson Barboza
Blue Corner
+355
(22%)
Vegas Odds
-445
(82%)
46
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
178 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Lullo
oldest →latest
L
vs Robert Peralta · Sep 11Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike LulloMetricEdson Barboza
2.48
Strikes / min
4.14
4.84
Strikes absorbed / min
4.68
40%
Strike defense
55%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.43
0%
Takedown defense
73%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.36Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-0.54
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Lullo(2 fights)Edson Barboza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Mike Lullo
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Edson Barboza
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights32