Middleweight
3 Rounds
Karlos Vemola won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 5, 2012·East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupMike Massenzio: WrestlervsKarlos Vemola: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Mike Massenzio wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Karlos Vemola wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karlos Vemola enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karlos Vemola threatens submissions; Mike Massenzio has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Mike Massenzio has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Massenzio has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Massenzio (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mike Massenzio
Red Corner
VS
Karlos Vemola
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
43
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Massenzio
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brian Stann · Aug 10L
vs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jun 11W
vs Steve Cantwell · Oct 11L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Jan 12Karlos VemolaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jon Madsen · Jul 10W
KOvs Seth Petruzelli · Nov 10L
vs Ronny Markes · Aug 11L
SUBvs Francis Carmont · Jul 12L
SUBvs Caio Magalhaes · Jun 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike MassenzioMetricKarlos Vemola
2.08
Strikes / min
1.67
3.59
Strikes absorbed / min
2.13
54%
Strike defense
37%
2.74
TDs / 15 min
1.93
50%
Takedown defense
31%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.51Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike MassenzioKarlos Vemola
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Massenzio(5 fights)Karlos Vemola(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.816.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-153.0153.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Mike Massenzio
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5
Karlos Vemola
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6