Welterweight
3 Rounds
Mike Pierce won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 28, 2010·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mike Pierce wins(62.8%)
Actual result: Mike Pierce wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Pierce has 32pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Pierce has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amilcar Alves (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mike Pierce
Red Corner
VS
Amilcar Alves
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
45
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike PierceL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aaron Simpson · Oct 12W
vs Seth Baczynski · Dec 12W
KOvs David Mitchell · Jul 13L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Oct 13L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Dec 15Amilcar Alves
oldest →latest
L
vs Charlie Brenneman · Jan 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike PierceMetricAmilcar Alves
2.62
Strikes / min
0.50
2.36
Strikes absorbed / min
2.02
62%
Strike defense
30%
3.08
TDs / 15 min
0.00
71%
Takedown defense
53%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike PierceAmilcar Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Pierce(10 fights)Amilcar Alves(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.447.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Mike Pierce
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12
Amilcar Alves
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2