Welterweight
3 Rounds
Mike Pierce won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, December 14, 2012·Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Mike Pierce wins(60.9%)
Actual result: Mike Pierce wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Seth Baczynski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Pierce has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Pierce has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Seth Baczynski has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mike Pierce
Red Corner
VS
Seth Baczynski
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+355
(22%)
45
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike PierceL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Carlos Eduardo Rocha · Jun 12W
KOvs Aaron Simpson · Oct 12W
KOvs David Mitchell · Jul 13L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Oct 13L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Dec 15Seth BaczynskiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Brian Melancon · Jul 13W
vs Neil Magny · Nov 13L
vs Thiago Alves · Apr 14L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Aug 14L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Apr 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike PierceMetricSeth Baczynski
2.62
Strikes / min
3.08
2.36
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
62%
Strike defense
51%
3.08
TDs / 15 min
0.89
71%
Takedown defense
48%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike PierceSeth Baczynski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Pierce(10 fights)Seth Baczynski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+8.3-8.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-13.013.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Mike Pierce
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12
Seth Baczynski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11