Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Garcia won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 30, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMike Pyle: Submission grapplervsAlex Garcia: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Mike Pyle wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Alex Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Mike Pyle
Red Corner
VS
Alex Garcia
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
50
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike PyleL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jordan Mein · Aug 14L
vs Colby Covington · May 15W
KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16L
KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16L
KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18Alex GarciaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 16L
vs Tim Means · Jun 17W
SUBvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 17L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 18L
vs Court McGee · Oct 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike PyleMetricAlex Garcia
2.74
Strikes / min
1.81
2.84
Strikes absorbed / min
3.03
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.80
TDs / 15 min
3.72
70%
Takedown defense
66%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike PyleAlex Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Pyle(10 fights)Alex Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.6-28.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-137.0137.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Mike Pyle
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
Alex Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10