Welterweight
3 Rounds
Mike Pyle won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 22, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMike Pyle: Submission grapplervsTJ Waldburger: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Mike Pyle wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Mike Pyle wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Pyle is a KO finisher (56% of wins). TJ Waldburger has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Mike Pyle has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Pyle has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mike Pyle
Red Corner
VS
TJ Waldburger
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
50
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike PyleL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Colby Covington · May 15W
KOvs Sean Spencer · Feb 16L
KOvs Alberto Mina · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 16L
KOvs Zak Ottow · Mar 18TJ Waldburger
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mike Stumpf · Sep 11W
SUBvs Jake Hecht · Mar 12L
vs Brian Ebersole · Jun 12W
SUBvs Nick Catone · Dec 12L
KOvs Adlan Amagov · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike PyleMetricTJ Waldburger
2.74
Strikes / min
2.02
2.84
Strikes absorbed / min
2.39
60%
Strike defense
40%
1.80
TDs / 15 min
3.03
70%
Takedown defense
40%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
4.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike PyleTJ Waldburger
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Pyle(10 fights)TJ Waldburger(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+60.6-60.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Mike Pyle
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16
TJ Waldburger
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8