Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mike Rio won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 15, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMike Rio: WrestlervsJohn Cofer: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Mike Rio wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Mike Rio wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Rio enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Rio threatens submissions; John Cofer has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- John Cofer has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Cofer (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mike Rio
Red Corner
VS
John Cofer
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
44
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike RioL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Francisco Trinaldo · May 13L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Oct 13L
KOvs Daron Cruickshank · Jan 14John Cofer
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Lawrence · Jun 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike RioMetricJohn Cofer
1.68
Strikes / min
2.73
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
53%
Strike defense
62%
2.58
TDs / 15 min
1.22
0%
Takedown defense
64%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.31evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike RioJohn Cofer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Rio(4 fights)John Cofer(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Mike Rio
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
John Cofer
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights2