Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Rodriguez is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Danilo Marques has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Danilo Marques threatens submissions; Mike Rodriguez has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Danilo Marques has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Rodriguez has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Rodriguez (53.5%).
- Mike Rodriguez has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Adam Milstead · Dec 18L
KOvs Da Un Jung · Dec 19W
KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Aug 20L
SUBvs Ed Herman · Sep 20L
vs Tafon Nchukwi · Sep 21 Danilo MarquesL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Sep 20L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jun 21L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Feb 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike RodriguezMetricDanilo Marques
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.11Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike RodriguezDanilo Marques
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Rodriguez(7 fights)Danilo Marques(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.5|Blue +9.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike RodriguezTargetDanilo Marques
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Danilo Marques edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:04
3Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
4:10Control
Round 2Danilo Marques edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:29Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
