Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tafon Nchukwi won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMike Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsTafon Nchukwi: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Tafon Nchukwi wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Tafon Nchukwi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tafon Nchukwi enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Mike Rodriguez is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Tafon Nchukwi has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Tafon Nchukwi has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tafon Nchukwi has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Rodriguez (53.5%).
- Mike Rodriguez has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mike Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Tafon Nchukwi
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
37
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'0"
208.28 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike RodriguezL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Adam Milstead · Dec 18L
vs Da Un Jung · Dec 19W
KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Aug 20L
SUBvs Ed Herman · Sep 20L
SUBvs Danilo Marques · Feb 21Tafon NchukwiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jamie Pickett · Dec 20L
vs Junyong Park · May 21L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Mar 22L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Jun 22L
vs AJ Dobson · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike RodriguezMetricTafon Nchukwi
4.35
Strikes / min
5.57
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
41%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.76
37%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.11Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike RodriguezTafon Nchukwi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Rodriguez(7 fights)Tafon Nchukwi(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.327.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Mike Rodriguez
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights7
Tafon Nchukwi
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6