Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alex Garcia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 11, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alex Garcia wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Alex Garcia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Swick has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mike Swick
Red Corner
VS
Alex Garcia
Blue Corner
+375
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-470
(82%)
46
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'9"
195.58 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Swick
oldest →latest
W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 12L
KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 12Alex GarciaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mike Pyle · Dec 16L
vs Tim Means · Jun 17W
SUBvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 17L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 18L
vs Court McGee · Oct 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike SwickMetricAlex Garcia
2.36
Strikes / min
1.81
2.29
Strikes absorbed / min
3.03
54%
Strike defense
59%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
3.72
61%
Takedown defense
66%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike SwickAlex Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Swick(3 fights)Alex Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.918.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+623.0-623.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Mike Swick
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3
Alex Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10