Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Brown won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 8, 2012·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(56.1%)
Actual result: Matt Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Brown is a KO finisher (77% of wins). Mike Swick has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Mike Swick
Red Corner
VS
Matt Brown
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
46
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Swick
oldest →latest
W
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Aug 12L
vs Alex Garcia · Jul 15Matt Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike SwickMetricMatt Brown
2.36
Strikes / min
3.76
2.29
Strikes absorbed / min
2.92
54%
Strike defense
55%
1.06
TDs / 15 min
1.68
61%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike SwickMatt Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Swick(3 fights)Matt Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.9-6.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-43.043.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Mike Swick
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25