Featherweight
3 Rounds
Makwan Amirkhani won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 27, 2016·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Mike Wilkinson wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Makwan Amirkhani wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Makwan Amirkhani threatens submissions; Mike Wilkinson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Makwan Amirkhani has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Wilkinson has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).
- Makwan Amirkhani has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mike Wilkinson
Red Corner
VS
Makwan Amirkhani
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'10"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Wilkinson
oldest →latest
W
vs Brendan Loughnane · Dec 12L
SUBvs Rony Jason · Jun 13W
KOvs Niklas Backstrom · Oct 14Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21L
KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21W
SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22L
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike WilkinsonMetricMakwan Amirkhani
2.35
Strikes / min
1.33
3.70
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
35%
Strike defense
46%
0.92
TDs / 15 min
3.96
55%
Takedown defense
35%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.35evenly matched on net striking-1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mike WilkinsonMakwan Amirkhani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Wilkinson(4 fights)Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.110.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+259.0-259.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mike Wilkinson
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights4
Makwan Amirkhani
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14