Bantamweight
3 Rounds
John Castaneda won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMiles Johns: Well-roundedvsJohn Castaneda: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Miles Johns wins(51.7%)
Actual result: John Castaneda wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Miles Johns has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Miles Johns
Red Corner
VS
John Castaneda
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
32
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miles JohnsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Gibson · Mar 24W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jun 24L
vs Felipe Lima · Dec 24L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Aug 25L
SUBvs Daniel Marcos · Nov 25John CastanedaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Santos · Oct 22W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Nov 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jun 24L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miles JohnsMetricJohn Castaneda
3.36
Strikes / min
4.95
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
5.07
65%
Strike defense
54%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
1.49
77%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Miles JohnsJohn Castaneda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miles Johns(10 fights)John Castaneda(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.9-28.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-168.0168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Miles Johns
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11
John Castaneda
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8