Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Mario Bautista won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 8, 2020·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupMiles Johns: Well-roundedvsMario Bautista: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Miles Johns wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Mario Bautista wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Miles Johns has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Miles Johns has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mario Bautista (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Miles Johns
Red Corner
VS
Mario Bautista
Blue Corner
-132
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+112
(47%)
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miles JohnsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cody Gibson · Mar 24W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jun 24L
vs Felipe Lima · Dec 24L
vs Jean Matsumoto · Aug 25L
SUBvs Daniel Marcos · Nov 25Mario Bautista
oldest →latest
W
vs Ricky Simon · Jan 24W
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 24W
vs Patchy Mix · Jun 25L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miles JohnsMetricMario Bautista
3.36
Strikes / min
5.30
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.98
65%
Strike defense
54%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
1.91
77%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.37evenly matched on net striking+1.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Miles JohnsMario Bautista
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miles Johns(10 fights)Mario Bautista(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Miles Johns
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11
Mario Bautista
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14