Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Minotauro Nogueira won
UFC Event·Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Minotauro Nogueira wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Minotauro Nogueira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Minotauro Nogueira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Dave Herman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Minotauro Nogueira
Red Corner
VS
Dave Herman
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
36
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Minotauro NogueiraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Brendan Schaub · Aug 11L
vs Frank Mir · Dec 11L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 13L
vs Roy Nelson · Apr 14L
vs Stefan Struve · Aug 15Dave HermanL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jon Olav Einemo · Jun 11L
KOvs Stefan Struve · Feb 12L
KOvs Roy Nelson · May 12L
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Jul 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Minotauro NogueiraMetricDave Herman
—
Strikes / min
4.98
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
—
Strike defense
48%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.49
—
Takedown defense
58%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Minotauro NogueiraDave Herman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Minotauro Nogueira(6 fights)Dave Herman(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.9-15.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Minotauro Nogueira
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4
Dave Herman
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights5