Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Roy Nelson won
UFC Event·Friday, April 11, 2014·Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Minotauro Nogueira wins(63.2%)
Actual result: Roy Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Minotauro Nogueira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Minotauro Nogueira
Red Corner
VS
Roy Nelson
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
37
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Minotauro NogueiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Brendan Schaub · Aug 11L
vs Frank Mir · Dec 11W
vs Dave Herman · Oct 12L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Jun 13L
vs Stefan Struve · Aug 15Roy Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Sep 16L
vs Alexander Volkov · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Minotauro NogueiraMetricRoy Nelson
—
Strikes / min
2.18
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
—
Strike defense
46%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.14
—
Takedown defense
65%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Minotauro NogueiraRoy Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Minotauro Nogueira(6 fights)Roy Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.90.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Minotauro Nogueira
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4
Roy Nelson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights18