Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Amanda Lemos won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 21, 2019·Busan, South Korea, South Korea
Model Prediction: Miranda Granger wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Amanda Lemos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miranda Granger has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Amanda Lemos has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Lemos (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Miranda Granger
Red Corner
VS
Amanda Lemos
Blue Corner
-303
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+234
(30%)
34
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miranda GrangerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hannah Goldy · Aug 19L
vs Ashley Yoder · Nov 20L
SUBvs Cory McKenna · Aug 22Amanda LemosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24W
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25L
vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25L
vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miranda GrangerMetricAmanda Lemos
2.79
Strikes / min
2.75
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
57%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.02
33%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.22evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Miranda GrangerAmanda Lemos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miranda Granger(4 fights)Amanda Lemos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.0-32.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-748.0748.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Miranda Granger
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4
Amanda Lemos
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15