Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Misha Cirkunov won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 6, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMisha Cirkunov: WrestlervsAlex Nicholson: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Misha Cirkunov wins(66.2%)
Actual result: Misha Cirkunov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alex Nicholson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Misha Cirkunov has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Misha Cirkunov threatens submissions; Alex Nicholson has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Misha Cirkunov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Misha Cirkunov has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Misha Cirkunov
Red Corner
VS
Alex Nicholson
Blue Corner
-700
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+500
(17%)
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Misha CirkunovL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22Alex NicholsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Devin Clark · Jul 16L
vs Sam Alvey · Nov 16L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Misha CirkunovMetricAlex Nicholson
3.86
Strikes / min
4.12
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
4.65
57%
Strike defense
47%
4.15
TDs / 15 min
0.00
76%
Takedown defense
50%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Misha CirkunovAlex Nicholson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Alex Nicholson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Misha Cirkunov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13
Alex Nicholson
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4