Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Misha Cirkunov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, August 23, 2015·Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada, Canada
Style matchupMisha Cirkunov: WrestlervsDaniel Jolly: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Misha Cirkunov wins(69.8%)
Actual result: Misha Cirkunov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Misha Cirkunov has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Misha Cirkunov
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Jolly
Blue Corner
-570
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+435
(19%)
39
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Misha CirkunovL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22Daniel Jolly
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Feb 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Misha CirkunovMetricDaniel Jolly
3.86
Strikes / min
1.32
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
3.39
57%
Strike defense
44%
4.15
TDs / 15 min
2.83
76%
Takedown defense
50%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 2.87 — meaningful gap-2.07
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Daniel Jolly(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Misha Cirkunov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13
Daniel Jolly
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2