Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Misha Cirkunov won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2016·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupMisha Cirkunov: WrestlervsIon Cutelaba: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Misha Cirkunov wins(66.2%)
Actual result: Misha Cirkunov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov threatens submissions; Ion Cutelaba has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Misha Cirkunov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Misha Cirkunov
Red Corner
VS
Ion Cutelaba
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
39
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Misha CirkunovL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22Ion Cutelaba
oldest →latest
L
vs Philipe Lins · Mar 24W
vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25W
SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Misha CirkunovMetricIon Cutelaba
3.86
Strikes / min
4.23
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
3.28
57%
Strike defense
47%
4.15
TDs / 15 min
3.76
76%
Takedown defense
75%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Misha CirkunovIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.3-31.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Misha Cirkunov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13
Ion Cutelaba
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19