Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ryan Spann won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, March 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMisha Cirkunov: WrestlervsRyan Spann: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Misha Cirkunov wins(52.6%)
Actual result: Ryan Spann wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov threatens submissions; Ryan Spann has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Misha Cirkunov has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Misha Cirkunov has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Misha Cirkunov
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Spann
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
39
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
195.58 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Misha CirkunovL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Mar 19W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22Ryan Spann
oldest →latest
L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Misha CirkunovMetricRyan Spann
3.86
Strikes / min
3.11
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
57%
Strike defense
43%
4.15
TDs / 15 min
1.21
76%
Takedown defense
59%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Misha CirkunovRyan Spann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Ryan Spann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+371.0-371.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Misha Cirkunov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13
Ryan Spann
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15