Middleweight
3 Rounds
Wellington Turman won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 26, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Misha Cirkunov wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Wellington Turman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Misha Cirkunov has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Misha Cirkunov has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Misha Cirkunov
Red Corner
VS
Wellington Turman
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
39
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Misha CirkunovL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Mar 19W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22Wellington TurmanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 21W
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 21L
vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 23L
SUBvs Jared Gooden · Dec 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Misha CirkunovMetricWellington Turman
3.86
Strikes / min
3.23
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
4.17
57%
Strike defense
45%
4.15
TDs / 15 min
1.55
76%
Takedown defense
42%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Misha CirkunovWellington Turman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Wellington Turman(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.4-26.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Misha Cirkunov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13
Wellington Turman
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9