Lightweight
3 Rounds
Anton Kuivanen won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 21, 2012·Calgary, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Anton Kuivanen wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Anton Kuivanen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mitch Clarke threatens submissions; Anton Kuivanen has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Anton Kuivanen has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Anton Kuivanen has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mitch Clarke
Red Corner
VS
Anton Kuivanen
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
40
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mitch ClarkeL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs John Maguire · Jun 13W
SUBvs Al Iaquinta · May 14L
vs Michael Chiesa · Apr 15L
SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex White · Sep 17Anton KuivanenL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Justin Salas · Feb 12L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mitch ClarkeMetricAnton Kuivanen
2.35
Strikes / min
2.27
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
1.63
47%
Strike defense
67%
0.64
TDs / 15 min
1.20
50%
Takedown defense
71%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap+0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mitch ClarkeAnton Kuivanen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mitch Clarke(7 fights)Anton Kuivanen(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+67.0-67.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Mitch Clarke
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Anton Kuivanen
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3