Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mitch Clarke won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 15, 2013·Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Mitch Clarke wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Mitch Clarke wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Maguire has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Maguire has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Maguire (53.5%).
- Mitch Clarke has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mitch Clarke
Red Corner
VS
John Maguire
Blue Corner
+230
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
40
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mitch ClarkeL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Anton Kuivanen · Jul 12W
SUBvs Al Iaquinta · May 14L
vs Michael Chiesa · Apr 15L
SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex White · Sep 17John MaguireL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justin Edwards · Nov 11W
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Apr 12L
vs John Hathaway · Sep 12L
vs Matthew Riddle · Nov 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mitch ClarkeMetricJohn Maguire
2.35
Strikes / min
1.41
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
47%
Strike defense
65%
0.64
TDs / 15 min
2.80
50%
Takedown defense
77%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92evenly matched on net striking-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mitch ClarkeJohn Maguire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mitch Clarke(7 fights)John Maguire(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.836.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
Mitch Clarke
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
John Maguire
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5