Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Mitch Gagnon won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2014·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Mitch Gagnon wins(52.9%)
Actual result: Mitch Gagnon wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mitch Gagnon threatens submissions; Roman Salazar has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Mitch Gagnon has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mitch Gagnon (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mitch Gagnon
Red Corner
VS
Roman Salazar
Blue Corner
-750
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
41
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mitch GagnonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Dustin Kimura · Sep 13W
vs Tim Gorman · Apr 14L
SUBvs Renan Barao · Dec 14L
vs Matthew Lopez · Dec 16L
vs Cole Smith · May 19Roman Salazar
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Marlon Vera · Aug 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mitch GagnonMetricRoman Salazar
2.76
Strikes / min
1.95
2.21
Strikes absorbed / min
2.89
61%
Strike defense
57%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
1.77
65%
Takedown defense
50%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.55Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mitch Gagnon(8 fights)Roman Salazar(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.6-32.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Mitch Gagnon
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Roman Salazar
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2