Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Mitch Gagnon won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, April 16, 2014·Quebec City, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Mitch Gagnon wins(76.9%)
Actual result: Mitch Gagnon wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mitch Gagnon enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mitch Gagnon has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mitch Gagnon has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mitch Gagnon
Red Corner
VS
Tim Gorman
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
41
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mitch GagnonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Dustin Kimura · Sep 13W
SUBvs Roman Salazar · Oct 14L
SUBvs Renan Barao · Dec 14L
vs Matthew Lopez · Dec 16L
vs Cole Smith · May 19Tim Gorman
oldest →latest
L
vs Thomas Almeida · Nov 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mitch GagnonMetricTim Gorman
2.76
Strikes / min
2.73
2.21
Strikes absorbed / min
5.57
61%
Strike defense
46%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
1.00
65%
Takedown defense
33%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.55Δ 3.39 — meaningful gap-2.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mitch GagnonTim Gorman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mitch Gagnon(8 fights)Tim Gorman(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.4-17.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Mitch Gagnon
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8
Tim Gorman
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach—
Fights2