Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mike Davis won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 12, 2025·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mitch Ramirez wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Mike Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Davis is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Mitch Ramirez has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Mike Davis has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Davis has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mitch Ramirez
Red Corner
VS
Mike Davis
Blue Corner
+520
(16%)
Vegas Odds
-900
(90%)
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mitch Ramirez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Thiago Moises · Mar 24Mike Davis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Thomas Gifford · Oct 19L
vs Mason Jones · Jan 21W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Oct 22W
SUBvs Natan Levy · Mar 24L
vs Fares Ziam · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mitch RamirezMetricMike Davis
3.51
Strikes / min
4.73
3.98
Strikes absorbed / min
5.23
37%
Strike defense
54%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
2.40
25%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mitch RamirezMike Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mitch Ramirez(2 fights)Mike Davis(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-24.024.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+322.0-322.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Mitch Ramirez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2
Mike Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7