Flyweight
3 Rounds
Andre Lima won · S-DEC R3
MR
AL
Mitch RaposovsAndre Lima
UFC Event · Saturday, June 1, 2024Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupMitch Raposo: WrestlervsAndre Lima: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Andre Lima wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Andre Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andre Lima enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mitch Raposo (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Mitch Raposo
Red Corner
VS
Andre Lima
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
27
Age
27
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mitch Raposo
oldest →latest
L
vs Sumudaerji · Apr 25W
vs Azat Maksum · Oct 25Andre LimaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Igor Severino · Mar 24W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 24W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mitch RaposoMetricAndre Lima
1.73
Strikes / min
4.06
2.65
Strikes absorbed / min
2.49
61%
Strike defense
57%
2.54
TDs / 15 min
1.36
61%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92Δ 2.49 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mitch RaposoAndre Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mitch Raposo(3 fights)Andre Lima(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Mitch Raposo
StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights3
Andre Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4