Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Modestas Bukauskas won · S-DEC R3
MB
IC
Modestas BukauskasvsIon Cutelaba
UFC Event · Saturday, May 10, 2025Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupModestas Bukauskas: StrikervsIon Cutelaba: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Modestas Bukauskas wins(65.4%)
Actual result: Modestas Bukauskas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ion Cutelaba enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Modestas Bukauskas
Red Corner
VS
Ion Cutelaba
Blue Corner
-106
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Modestas Bukauskas
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Nov 23W
SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 24W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26Ion CutelabaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tanner Boser · Apr 23L
vs Philipe Lins · Mar 24W
vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25W
SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Modestas BukauskasMetricIon Cutelaba
3.24
Strikes / min
4.23
4.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.28
50%
Strike defense
47%
0.26
TDs / 15 min
3.76
79%
Takedown defense
75%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.81Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Modestas BukauskasIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.0-15.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Modestas Bukauskas
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Ion Cutelaba
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19