Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Khalil Rountree Jr. won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 4, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupModestas Bukauskas: StrikervsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Modestas Bukauskas wins(66.9%)
Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Modestas Bukauskas has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Modestas Bukauskas has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Modestas Bukauskas
Red Corner
VS
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
32
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Modestas Bukauskas
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 24W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25W
vs Ion Cutelaba · May 25W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Modestas BukauskasMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.
3.24
Strikes / min
3.88
4.05
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
50%
Strike defense
49%
0.26
TDs / 15 min
0.00
79%
Takedown defense
58%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.81evenly matched on net striking-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Modestas BukauskasKhalil Rountree Jr.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Modestas Bukauskas
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Khalil Rountree Jr.
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17