Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Modestas Bukauskas won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2024·Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupModestas Bukauskas: StrikervsMarcin Prachnio: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Modestas Bukauskas wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Modestas Bukauskas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Modestas Bukauskas has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Modestas Bukauskas
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Prachnio
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
32
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Modestas Bukauskas
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Nov 23W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25W
vs Ion Cutelaba · May 25W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26Marcin Prachnio
oldest →latest
L
vs Philipe Lins · Apr 22W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23W
vs Devin Clark · Feb 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Modestas BukauskasMetricMarcin Prachnio
3.24
Strikes / min
5.52
4.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.15
50%
Strike defense
54%
0.26
TDs / 15 min
0.14
79%
Takedown defense
53%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.81Δ 3.18 — meaningful gap+2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Modestas BukauskasMarcin Prachnio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.63.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Modestas Bukauskas
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Marcin Prachnio
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11