Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk won · S-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, March 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupModestas Bukauskas: StrikervsMichal Oleksiejczuk: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Modestas Bukauskas wins(55.3%)
Actual result: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Modestas Bukauskas has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Modestas Bukauskas has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Modestas Bukauskas
Red Corner
VS
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Blue Corner
+157
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-177
(64%)
32
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Modestas Bukauskas
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 24W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25W
vs Ion Cutelaba · May 25W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jan 26Michal OleksiejczukW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Modestas BukauskasMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk
3.24
Strikes / min
5.85
4.05
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
50%
Strike defense
59%
0.26
TDs / 15 min
1.02
79%
Takedown defense
52%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.81Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Modestas BukauskasMichal Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-238.0238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Modestas Bukauskas
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Michal Oleksiejczuk
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17