Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kaue Fernandes won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 3, 2024·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Kaue Fernandes wins(59.6%)
Actual result: Kaue Fernandes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kaue Fernandes is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Mohammad Yahya has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Kaue Fernandes has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kaue Fernandes has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mohammad Yahya (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Mohammad Yahya
Red Corner
VS
Kaue Fernandes
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-345
(78%)
31
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mohammad YahyaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Trevor Peek · Oct 23L
KOvs Steven Nguyen · Jul 25Kaue FernandesW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Marc Diakiese · Nov 23W
vs Guram Kutateladze · Mar 25W
KOvs Harry Hardwick · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mohammad YahyaMetricKaue Fernandes
3.50
Strikes / min
4.28
6.39
Strikes absorbed / min
1.42
43%
Strike defense
62%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
1.18
42%
Takedown defense
76%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.89Δ 5.75 — meaningful gap+2.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mohammad YahyaKaue Fernandes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mohammad Yahya(3 fights)Kaue Fernandes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.20.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Mohammad Yahya
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3
Kaue Fernandes
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4