Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mohammed Usman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 22, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMohammed Usman: Well-roundedvsJunior Tafa: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Mohammed Usman wins(55.7%)
Actual result: Mohammed Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mohammed Usman has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mohammed Usman
Red Corner
VS
Junior Tafa
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-118
(54%)
37
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mohammed Usman
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Zac Pauga · Aug 22W
vs Jake Collier · Sep 23L
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 24L
vs Thomas Petersen · Jul 24W
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Jun 25Junior TafaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Aug 24W
KOvs Sean Sharaf · Oct 24L
SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · Jul 25L
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mohammed UsmanMetricJunior Tafa
3.85
Strikes / min
3.62
4.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.66
51%
Strike defense
51%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.00
66%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.42Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mohammed UsmanJunior Tafa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mohammed Usman(6 fights)Junior Tafa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.5-13.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Mohammed Usman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6
Junior Tafa
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7