Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Thomas Petersen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMohammed Usman: Well-roundedvsThomas Petersen: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Thomas Petersen wins(50.2%)
Actual result: Thomas Petersen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thomas Petersen has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Petersen (53.5%).
- Mohammed Usman has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mohammed Usman
Red Corner
VS
Thomas Petersen
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
37
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mohammed Usman
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Zac Pauga · Aug 22W
vs Junior Tafa · Apr 23W
vs Jake Collier · Sep 23L
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 24W
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Jun 25Thomas Petersen
oldest →latest
L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 24L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Feb 25W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · May 25L
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mohammed UsmanMetricThomas Petersen
3.85
Strikes / min
3.10
4.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
51%
Strike defense
54%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
3.01
66%
Takedown defense
87%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.42evenly matched on net striking+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mohammed UsmanThomas Petersen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mohammed Usman(6 fights)Thomas Petersen(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.1-37.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Mohammed Usman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6
Thomas Petersen
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6