Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mohammed Usman won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMohammed Usman: Well-roundedvsZac Pauga: Elusive striker
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Zac Pauga wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Mohammed Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zac Pauga has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mohammed Usman
Red Corner
VS
Zac Pauga
Blue Corner
+235
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mohammed Usman
oldest →latest
W
vs Junior Tafa · Apr 23W
vs Jake Collier · Sep 23L
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 24L
vs Thomas Petersen · Jul 24W
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Jun 25Zac PaugaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jordan Wright · Feb 23L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · Jun 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mohammed UsmanMetricZac Pauga
3.85
Strikes / min
4.46
4.27
Strikes absorbed / min
2.73
51%
Strike defense
58%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.38
66%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.42Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap+1.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mohammed Usman(6 fights)Zac Pauga(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Mohammed Usman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6
Zac Pauga
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4