Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Alexia Thainara won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 22, 2025·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMolly McCann: Pressure fightervsAlexia Thainara: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Alexia Thainara wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexia Thainara has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Alexia Thainara has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Molly McCann
Red Corner
VS
Alexia Thainara
Blue Corner
+188
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
36
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
157.48 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Molly McCann
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Hannah Goldy · Jul 22L
SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22L
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24L
vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24Alexia ThainaraW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Loma Lookboonmee · Sep 25W
vs Bruna Brasil · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Molly McCannMetricAlexia Thainara
5.28
Strikes / min
4.62
4.65
Strikes absorbed / min
2.46
62%
Strike defense
59%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
4.54
38%
Takedown defense
100%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.63Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Molly McCannAlexia Thainara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Molly McCann(10 fights)Alexia Thainara(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.0-4.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Molly McCann
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights14
Alexia Thainara
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3