Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Julija Stoliarenko won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 22, 2023·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Julija Stoliarenko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Julija Stoliarenko threatens submissions; Molly McCann has lost 57% of fights by sub.
- Molly McCann has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Julija Stoliarenko has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Julija Stoliarenko has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Molly McCann
Red Corner
VS
Julija Stoliarenko
Blue Corner
-205
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'7"
157.48 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Molly McCannL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Hannah Goldy · Jul 22L
SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24L
vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24L
SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25Julija StoliarenkoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexis Davis · Feb 22W
SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jul 22L
KOvs Chelsea Chandler · Oct 22L
KOvs Luana Carolina · Feb 24L
vs Gabriella Fernandes · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Molly McCannMetricJulija Stoliarenko
5.28
Strikes / min
2.74
4.65
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
62%
Strike defense
46%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.78
38%
Takedown defense
54%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.63Δ 2.34 — meaningful gap-1.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Molly McCannJulija Stoliarenko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Molly McCann(10 fights)Julija Stoliarenko(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+80.7-80.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Molly McCann
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights14
Julija Stoliarenko
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9