Featherweight
3 Rounds
Chepe Mariscal won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 6, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMorgan Charriere: WrestlervsChepe Mariscal: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Morgan Charriere wins(52.6%)
Actual result: Chepe Mariscal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Morgan Charriere has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Morgan Charriere
Red Corner
VS
Chepe Mariscal
Blue Corner
-142
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
30
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Morgan Charriere
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Manolo Zecchini · Sep 23W
KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 24L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 25W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jul 25L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 25Chepe Mariscal
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevor Peek · Jun 23W
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Sep 23W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 24W
vs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 25L
vs Pat Sabatini · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Morgan CharriereMetricChepe Mariscal
4.02
Strikes / min
4.14
4.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.66
53%
Strike defense
52%
2.06
TDs / 15 min
2.34
83%
Takedown defense
59%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap+1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Morgan CharriereChepe Mariscal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Morgan Charriere(6 fights)Chepe Mariscal(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.919.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Morgan Charriere
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6
Chepe Mariscal
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6