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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Upcoming
Elo1502
Elo1504
Felipe Lima

Morgan CharrierevsFelipe LimaUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Fight begins in
Style matchupMorgan Charriere: WrestlervsFelipe Lima: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Felipe Lima has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Morgan Charriere
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Lima
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1502
Elo
1504
30
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Morgan Charriere
oldest →
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Apr 24
W
KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Sep 24
L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 25
W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Jul 25
L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Dec 25
latest
Felipe Lima
oldest →
W
SUBvs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 24
W
vs Miles Johns · Dec 24
L
vs Payton Talbott · Jun 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Morgan CharriereMetricFelipe Lima
4.02
Strikes / min
2.86
4.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
53%
Strike defense
64%
2.06
TDs / 15 min
2.18
83%
Takedown defense
85%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Morgan Charriere(6 fights)Felipe Lima(3 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO73%

Historical win share: Morgan Charriere earned 100% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission27%

Historical win share: Felipe Lima earned 50% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Morgan Charriere

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6

Felipe Lima

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3