Featherweight
3 Rounds
Movsar Evloev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMovsar Evloev: WrestlervsAljamain Sterling: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Movsar Evloev wins(55.9%)
Actual result: Movsar Evloev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Movsar Evloev has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Movsar Evloev
Red Corner
VS
Aljamain Sterling
Blue Corner
-238
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
32
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jun 21W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 22W
vs Diego Lopes · May 23W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26Aljamain SterlingW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Oct 22W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Movsar EvloevMetricAljamain Sterling
3.91
Strikes / min
4.26
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.15
61%
Strike defense
59%
4.78
TDs / 15 min
2.54
61%
Takedown defense
44%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11evenly matched on net striking+2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Movsar EvloevAljamain Sterling
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Movsar Evloev(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-49.849.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Movsar Evloev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22