Featherweight
3 Rounds
Movsar Evloev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 6, 2023·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupMovsar Evloev: WrestlervsDiego Lopes: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Movsar Evloev wins(54.2%)
Actual result: Movsar Evloev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Movsar Evloev has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Movsar Evloev
Red Corner
VS
Diego Lopes
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+660
(13%)
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jun 21W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 22W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26Diego Lopes
oldest →latest
W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Sep 24L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Apr 25W
KOvs Jean Silva · Sep 25L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Movsar EvloevMetricDiego Lopes
3.91
Strikes / min
3.83
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
4.56
61%
Strike defense
45%
4.78
TDs / 15 min
0.88
61%
Takedown defense
68%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.84 — meaningful gap-0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Movsar EvloevDiego Lopes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Movsar Evloev(10 fights)Diego Lopes(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+95.7-95.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Movsar Evloev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10
Diego Lopes
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9