Featherweight
5 Rounds
Movsar Evloev won · M-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2026·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMovsar Evloev: WrestlervsLerone Murphy: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Movsar Evloev wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Movsar Evloev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Lerone Murphy enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Movsar Evloev has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Movsar Evloev
Red Corner
VS
Lerone Murphy
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+198
(34%)
32
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jun 21W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 22W
vs Diego Lopes · May 23W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24Lerone MurphyW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Josh Culibao · Jul 23W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
vs Dan Ige · Oct 24W
vs Josh Emmett · Apr 25W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Movsar EvloevMetricLerone Murphy
3.91
Strikes / min
4.34
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
61%
Strike defense
60%
4.78
TDs / 15 min
1.20
61%
Takedown defense
44%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11evenly matched on net striking+1.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Movsar EvloevLerone Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Movsar Evloev(10 fights)Lerone Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.3-7.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+252.0-252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Movsar Evloev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10
Lerone Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10