Flyweight
3 Rounds
Muhammad Mokaev won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 19, 2022·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMuhammad Mokaev: WrestlervsCody Durden: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Muhammad Mokaev wins(60.6%)
Actual result: Muhammad Mokaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Cody Durden enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Muhammad Mokaev threatens submissions; Cody Durden has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Cody Durden has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Muhammad Mokaev
Red Corner
VS
Cody Durden
Blue Corner
-490
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
25
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad MokaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Oct 22W
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Oct 23W
vs Alex Perez · Mar 24W
vs Manel Kape · Jul 24Cody DurdenL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Sep 24L
vs Joshua Van · Dec 24L
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25L
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad MokaevMetricCody Durden
1.61
Strikes / min
3.24
1.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
57%
Strike defense
50%
5.29
TDs / 15 min
3.99
25%
Takedown defense
56%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muhammad MokaevCody Durden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Mokaev(7 fights)Cody Durden(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.70.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.3-49.3
Muhammad Mokaev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Cody Durden
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14