Flyweight
3 Rounds
Muhammad Mokaev won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 22, 2022·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupMuhammad Mokaev: WrestlervsMalcolm Gordon: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Muhammad Mokaev wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Muhammad Mokaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Muhammad Mokaev threatens submissions; Malcolm Gordon has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Muhammad Mokaev has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Gordon (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Muhammad Mokaev
Red Corner
VS
Malcolm Gordon
Blue Corner
-1150
(92%)
Vegas Odds
+750
(12%)
25
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad MokaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Charles Johnson · Jul 22W
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Oct 23W
vs Alex Perez · Mar 24W
vs Manel Kape · Jul 24Malcolm GordonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Su Mudaerji · Nov 20W
vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jul 21W
KOvs Denys Bondar · Feb 22L
KOvs Jake Hadley · Mar 23L
SUBvs Jimmy Flick · Jan 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad MokaevMetricMalcolm Gordon
1.61
Strikes / min
2.50
1.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.00
57%
Strike defense
43%
5.29
TDs / 15 min
1.72
25%
Takedown defense
26%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muhammad MokaevMalcolm Gordon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Mokaev(7 fights)Malcolm Gordon(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.9-27.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-168.0168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Muhammad Mokaev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Malcolm Gordon
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7