Flyweight
3 Rounds
Muhammad Mokaev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2024·Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMuhammad Mokaev: WrestlervsManel Kape: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Muhammad Mokaev wins(65.0%)
Actual result: Muhammad Mokaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Manel Kape enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Manel Kape has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Manel Kape (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Muhammad Mokaev
Red Corner
VS
Manel Kape
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
25
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad MokaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Charles Johnson · Jul 22W
SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Oct 22W
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Oct 23W
vs Alex Perez · Mar 24Manel KapeW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs David Dvorak · Dec 22W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 23W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25W
KOvs Brandon Royval · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad MokaevMetricManel Kape
1.61
Strikes / min
5.04
1.35
Strikes absorbed / min
4.08
57%
Strike defense
57%
5.29
TDs / 15 min
0.40
25%
Takedown defense
81%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muhammad MokaevManel Kape
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Mokaev(7 fights)Manel Kape(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+50.2-50.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-175.0175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Muhammad Mokaev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Manel Kape
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10