Featherweight
3 Rounds
Muhammad Naimov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 21, 2025·Baku, Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan
Style matchupMuhammad Naimov: Well-roundedvsBogdan Grad: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Bogdan Grad wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Muhammad Naimov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bogdan Grad is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Muhammad Naimov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Muhammad Naimov
Red Corner
VS
Bogdan Grad
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
31
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad Naimov
oldest →latest
W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 23W
KOvs Erik Silva · Feb 24L
SUBvs Felipe Lima · Jun 24W
vs Kaan Ofli · Feb 25L
KOvs Mairon Santos · Dec 25Bogdan Grad
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Lucas Alexander · Feb 25L
KOvs Luke Riley · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad NaimovMetricBogdan Grad
2.51
Strikes / min
4.06
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
5.06
44%
Strike defense
49%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
4.22
68%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.84evenly matched on net striking-1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muhammad NaimovBogdan Grad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Naimov(7 fights)Bogdan Grad(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.9-31.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Muhammad Naimov
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Bogdan Grad
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3