Featherweight
3 Rounds
Felipe Lima won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 22, 2024·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Style matchupMuhammad Naimov: Well-roundedvsFelipe Lima: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Muhammad Naimov wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Felipe Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Lima threatens submissions; Muhammad Naimov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Felipe Lima has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Felipe Lima has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Muhammad Naimov
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Lima
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+114
(47%)
31
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad Naimov
oldest →latest
W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 23W
KOvs Erik Silva · Feb 24W
vs Kaan Ofli · Feb 25W
vs Bogdan Grad · Jun 25L
KOvs Mairon Santos · Dec 25Felipe Lima
oldest →latest
W
vs Miles Johns · Dec 24L
vs Payton Talbott · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad NaimovMetricFelipe Lima
2.51
Strikes / min
2.86
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
44%
Strike defense
64%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
2.18
68%
Takedown defense
85%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.84evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muhammad NaimovFelipe Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Naimov(7 fights)Felipe Lima(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.8-51.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Muhammad Naimov
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Felipe Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3