Featherweight
3 Rounds
Muhammad Naimov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2025·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabia
Model Prediction: Muhammad Naimov wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Muhammad Naimov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kaan Ofli threatens submissions; Muhammad Naimov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Kaan Ofli has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Muhammad Naimov has 68pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Muhammad Naimov has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Muhammad Naimov
Red Corner
VS
Kaan Ofli
Blue Corner
-390
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
31
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad Naimov
oldest →latest
W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 23W
KOvs Erik Silva · Feb 24L
SUBvs Felipe Lima · Jun 24W
vs Bogdan Grad · Jun 25L
KOvs Mairon Santos · Dec 25Kaan OfliW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mairon Santos · Aug 24W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 25W
vs Yizha · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad NaimovMetricKaan Ofli
2.51
Strikes / min
2.33
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
44%
Strike defense
54%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
0.38
68%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.84evenly matched on net striking-1.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muhammad NaimovKaan Ofli
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Naimov(7 fights)Kaan Ofli(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Muhammad Naimov
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Kaan Ofli
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights4