Featherweight
3 Rounds
Mairon Santos won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 6, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMuhammad Naimov: Well-roundedvsMairon Santos: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Muhammad Naimov wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Mairon Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mairon Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Mairon Santos is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Muhammad Naimov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mairon Santos has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Muhammad Naimov
Red Corner
VS
Mairon Santos
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
31
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad NaimovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 23W
KOvs Erik Silva · Feb 24L
SUBvs Felipe Lima · Jun 24W
vs Kaan Ofli · Feb 25W
vs Bogdan Grad · Jun 25Mairon SantosW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Kaan Ofli · Aug 24W
vs Francis Marshall · Mar 25W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad NaimovMetricMairon Santos
2.51
Strikes / min
3.33
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
2.24
44%
Strike defense
65%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
0.00
68%
Takedown defense
69%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.84Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap+1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Muhammad NaimovMairon Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Naimov(7 fights)Mairon Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.1-11.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Muhammad Naimov
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Mairon Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4